Special Report

This is the County in the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA Metro Area Where COVID-19 Is Growing the Fastest

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After adding over 514,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 34.2 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 600,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a faster rate. In the past week, there were an average of 20.0 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 10.3 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA, metro area consists of Fulton County, Gwinnett County, DeKalb County, and 26 other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 11.9 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Atlanta residents, less than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 8.3 daily new cases per 100,000 Atlanta residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Henry County. There were an average of 23.2 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Henry County during the past week, the most of the 29 counties in Atlanta with available data.

Case growth in the Atlanta metro area varies widely at the county level. In Dawson County, for example, there were an average of 6.0 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Atlanta and far more than the case growth rate in Henry County.

While Henry County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Atlanta area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of July 29, there were a total of 11,838.2 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Henry County, the ninth most of the 29 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 10,550.2 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Henry County, unemployment peaked at 13.4% in April 2020. As of April 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.1%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending July 29. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Georgia where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending July. 29 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending July. 22 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Henry County 225,356 23.2 12.1 11,838.2 150.9
2 Bartow County 104,919 19.6 12.0 14,550.3 229.7
3 Heard County 11,736 17.2 5.7 7,771.0 196.0
4 Newton County 108,079 16.3 8.0 10,767.1 245.2
5 Rockdale County 89,717 15.9 11.4 9,059.6 201.7
6 Douglas County 143,316 15.3 9.3 11,125.1 162.6
7 Pickens County 31,387 13.1 10.4 11,402.8 254.9
8 Clayton County 283,538 12.8 8.2 9,918.6 185.9
9 Cobb County 751,218 12.3 9.0 10,891.9 149.1
10 Paulding County 159,825 12.3 11.5 11,116.5 148.3
11 Fayette County 112,303 12.1 7.7 8,349.7 158.5
12 Spalding County 65,306 12.1 6.7 10,133.8 313.9
13 Coweta County 143,260 11.4 8.5 10,259.0 163.3
14 Fulton County 1,036,200 11.3 8.5 9,780.5 143.3
15 Pike County 18,327 11.2 5.8 13,084.5 240.1
16 Haralson County 29,227 11.2 8.4 9,385.2 311.4
17 Cherokee County 247,515 11.1 6.5 12,933.4 136.2
18 Carroll County 117,183 11.0 8.6 10,072.3 210.8
19 Walton County 91,442 11.0 6.6 11,919.0 289.8
20 DeKalb County 749,323 10.9 6.4 9,142.7 144.4
21 Lamar County 18,672 10.8 4.9 11,262.9 316.0
22 Gwinnett County 915,046 9.5 8.2 11,456.9 132.8
23 Morgan County 18,507 9.4 14.8 11,838.8 167.5
24 Forsyth County 228,383 9.2 6.6 10,193.0 89.8
25 Meriwether County 21,106 9.2 2.3 9,921.3 431.2
26 Barrow County 78,991 7.3 10.0 13,139.5 186.1
27 Butts County 24,090 6.9 11.9 13,520.1 373.6
28 Jasper County 13,916 6.7 4.0 10,254.4 287.4
29 Dawson County 24,536 6.0 3.4 12,764.9 199.7

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