Special Report

This is the County in the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI Metro Area Where COVID-19 is Growing the Fastest

Tomas Ragina / iStock via Getty Images

After adding over 289,000 new cases throughout the last week, the U.S. now has more than 33.7 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 600,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a faster rate. In the past week, there were an average of 10.3 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — an increase from the week prior, when there were an average of 4.2 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI, metro area consists of Hennepin County, Ramsey County, Dakota County, and 12 other counties. In the past week, there were an average of 3.7 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Minneapolis residents, less than the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there was an average of 1.6 daily new cases per 100,000 Minneapolis residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring counties. Within the Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington metro area, COVID-19 is growing the fastest in Anoka County. There were an average of 5.2 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Anoka County during the past week, the most of the 15 counties in Minneapolis with available data.

Case growth in the Minneapolis metro area varies at the county level. In Carver County, for example, there were an average of 1.9 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the least of any county in Minneapolis and more than the case growth rate in Anoka County.

While Anoka County is driving the growth of COVID-19 in the Minneapolis area, it does not have the highest incidence of cases overall. As of July 22, there were a total of 12,292.8 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Anoka County, the second most of the 15 counties in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 10,391.7 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and county governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Anoka County, unemployment peaked at 9.8% in May 2020. As of April 2021, the county’s unemployment rate was 4.1%.

To determine the county in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the fastest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked counties according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending July 22. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data up from the county level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the counties in Minnesota where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending July. 22 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending July. 15 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Anoka County 350,253 5.2 2.2 12,292.8 132.8
2 Isanti County 39,430 5.0 2.6 11,240.2 164.8
3 Chisago County 55,315 4.6 1.7 11,291.7 95.8
4 Washington County 255,938 4.1 1.1 10,773.3 115.7
5 Mille Lacs County 25,865 4.0 3.2 12,116.8 212.6
6 Sherburne County 94,463 4.0 1.8 12,790.2 100.6
7 Hennepin County 1,245,837 3.8 1.6 10,094.6 144.0
8 Wright County 134,438 3.7 2.3 12,249.5 112.3
9 Ramsey County 544,442 3.5 1.5 9,697.5 167.1
10 Dakota County 421,453 3.2 1.5 11,169.5 112.7
11 Le Sueur County 28,242 3.0 2.2 10,583.5 95.6
12 St. Croix County 88,732 2.9 1.7 11,124.5 81.1
13 Scott County 145,275 2.2 1.2 12,120.5 95.7
14 Pierce County 41,977 2.2 0.9 11,925.6 104.8
15 Carver County 101,949 1.9 0.9 10,503.3 48.1

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