The Milwaukee Brewers (40-32) open a three-game series on the road against the struggling Arizona Diamondbacks (20-53) Monday evening. First pitch comes at 9:40 p.m. ET at Chase Field. Let’s analyze BetMGM Sportsbook‘s lines around the Brewers vs. Diamondbacks odds with MLB picks and predictions.
LHP Brett Anderson is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers. He is 2-4 with a 4.24 ERA, 1.39 WHIP, 5.8 K/9 and 2.9 BB/9 through 46 2/3 IP spanning 11 starts.
Anderson is coming off his best start of the season. He went 7 scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds and allowed only 1 hit and 1 walk, while striking out a season-high 9 batters.
RHP Merrill Kelly is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks. He is 2-7 with a 5.40 ERA, 1.37 WHIP, 8.3 K/9 and 2.8 BB/9 over 78 1/3 IP through 14 starts.
Arizona dropped Kelly’s last eight starts. He allowed at least 3 earned runs in each of his last four outings.
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Brewers at Diamondbacks odds, lines, picks and prediction
MLB odds courtesy of BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports for a full list. Odds last updated at 11:25 a.m. ET.
- Money line: Brewers -120 (bet $120 to win $100) | Diamondbacks +100 (bet $100 to win $100)
- Against the spread/ATS: Brewers -1.5 (+115) | Diamondbacks +1.5 (-140)
- Over/Under: 9 (O: -120 | U: +100)
Prediction
Brewers 6, Diamondbacks 5
Money line (ML)
The Brewers have won two straight games but dropped their previous five outings. They are 20-14 on the road and won three of Anderson’s last four road outings.
The Diamondbacks have lost 17 straight games and 31 of their last 33. Kelly hasn’t won a start since April 27 and the D-Backs have not won a game he started since May 2.
Take the BREWERS (-120).
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Run line/Against the spread (ATS)
The Brewers are 39-33 ATS this season and 21-13 ATS on the road; however, they covered the spread in just one of their last seven games.
The Diamondbacks covered the spread five times in their current losing streak and are 18-15 ATS at home. Their bats awoke in the final innings Sunday and that could carry over to Monday’s game. Don’t expect a win but expect a 1-run game.
Take the DIAMONDBACKS +1.5 (-140).
Over/Under (O/U)
No ballpark in the league has a higher Over percentage than Chase Field’s 68.8%. Four of Kelly’s last five starts had a total of at least 9 runs. Eight of Arizona’s last 10 games hit the Over.
Take OVER 9 (-120).
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