Arizona election analysis finds GOP voters disenchanted with Trump helped Biden win

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An unofficial bipartisan election analysis conducted respectively to the Senate-led recount of 2.1 million ballots in Arizona’s Maricopa County concluded that Republicans disenchanted with then-President Donald Trump were responsible for his loss in the 2020 election.

Benny White, a Republican election researcher who previously ran for Pima County recorder, joined with Democrat Larry Moore and independent Tim Halvorsen, two retired executives from election company Clear Ballot, performed an analysis of the cast vote record in the November general election in Maricopa County. White has worked on over two dozen previous election audits, and Moore has had experience in more than 200, White told the Washington Examiner.

White, who said he voted for Trump in both elections, spent weeks with his team analyzing the cast vote record, which was obtained through a public records request on May 7. The data can be used to confirm vote tabulations and better understand voting patterns and behavior.

The trio found that committed Republicans in Maricopa County outnumbered committed Democrats by 13,000, which should have benefited Trump. A closer look at the results led the team to conclude there were more disaffected Republicans than Democrats in the county.

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Maricopa County Disaffected Voters

White said 59,800 people did not vote for Trump despite voting for mostly GOP candidates down the ballot. The results of his analysis showed 39,102 of those Republican voters crossed the aisle to cast a vote for then-candidate Joe Biden.

“I have good friends that just argue with me constantly that there’s no way that Joe Biden could have gotten 80 million votes. I say, ‘Well, he did because a lot of Republicans voted for him,'” he told the Washington Examiner.

The election researcher also found that fewer Democratic voters who chose Democratic candidates down the ballot, 38,851, did not vote for Biden in the 2020 election. White said 21,679 of these Democratic voters cast their ballot for Trump.

Biden won Maricopa County by nearly 2 percentage points, or 45,109 votes.

On June 8, White issued a letter to Arizona Senate President Karen Fann, who has hired audit contractor Cyber Ninjas to lead the front on recounting 2.1 million ballots cast in the Maricopa County election, among other forensic examinations of ballots in an effort to dispel questions of voter fraud raised by some constituents in the state. White requested Fann to take a look at his cast vote record analysis and compare the results of his findings with Cyber Ninjas’s results.

“If the Ninjas want to say that they did something and they came up with a count, that’s fine with me. Let’s just compare, and where there’s a difference, let’s find out why we have that difference,” White told the Washington Examiner.

Following his loss of the 2020 election, Trump repeated unsubstantiated claims of fraud in various battleground states that led many of his supporters to question and doubt the efficacy of the election process, claims that inspired some GOP officials to investigate localities in Georgia and Pennsylvania, two states Trump raised major concerns with in regards to election integrity.

Officials working with the audit at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum in Phoenix have not accepted White’s offer to compare a sample of ballots from any of the boxes currently located at the Veterans Memorial Coliseum, where auditors are expected to conclude recount efforts by the end of this month.

“We want them to take any box they want, either unopened or opened,” White said. “Just tell us what that box number is, and we’ll tell you how many votes each candidate in every race on the ballot, how many votes they got.”

Election officials nationwide and in the federal government, including top brass in Trump’s own Justice Department, have said they found no evidence of widespread fraud.

The Senate-led audit’s results are expected to be released in a comprehensive report sometime later this summer, Senate audit liaison and former Arizona Secretary of State Ken Bennett has said.

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A communications director for the Arizona State Senate did not immediately respond to the Washington Examiner’s request for comment.

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