Special Report

This is the County in the Monroe, LA Metro Area Where COVID-19 is Growing the Slowest

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After adding over 29,000 new cases on May 20, the U.S. now has more than 32.6 million confirmed cases of COVID-19. There have been more than 580,000 COVID-19-related deaths — the highest death toll of any country.

New cases continue to rise at a steady rate. In the past week, there were an average of 11.3 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 Americans — essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 13.6 daily new coronavirus cases per 100,000 people.

While COVID-19 has spread to nearly every part of the country, cities continue to be the sites of major outbreaks. Experts agree that the virus is more likely to spread in group settings where large numbers of people routinely have close contact with one another, such as colleges, nursing homes, bars, and restaurants. Metropolitan areas with a high degree of connectivity between different neighborhoods and a large population may be particularly at-risk.

The Monroe, LA, metro area consists of Ouachita Parish, Morehouse Parish, and Union Parish. In the past week, there were an average of 11.2 new coronavirus cases every day per 100,000 Monroe residents, in line with the national figure. The metro area’s average daily case growth in the most recent week is essentially unchanged from the week prior, when there were an average of 9.5 daily new cases per 100,000 Monroe residents.

The spread of coronavirus depends on a variety of factors and can vary even between neighboring parishes. Within the Monroe metro area, COVID-19 is growing the slowest in Morehouse Parish. There were an average of 3.7 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in Morehouse Parish during the past week, the least of the three parishes in Monroe with available data.

Case growth in the Monroe metro area varies at the parish level. In Ouachita Parish, for example, there were an average of 10.0 new cases per day per 100,000 residents in the past week — the most of any parish in Monroe and more than the case growth rate in Morehouse Parish.

While Morehouse Parish has the slowest case growth in the Monroe area, it does not have the lowest incidence of cases overall. As of May 20, there were a total of 11,108.9 confirmed cases per 100,000 residents in Morehouse Parish, the second fewest of the three parishes in the metro area. For comparison, the U.S. has so far reported 10,063.8 cases per 100,000 Americans nationwide.

In order to slow the spread of COVID-19, city and parish governments have ordered the closure of thousands of consumer-facing businesses. These measures have led to widespread job loss and record unemployment. In Morehouse Parish, unemployment peaked at 13.8% in May 2020. As of March 2021, the parish’s unemployment rate was 8.3%.

To determine the parish in every metropolitan area where COVID-19 is growing the slowest, 24/7 Wall St. compiled and reviewed data from state and local health departments. We ranked parishes according to the average number of new daily COVID-19 cases per 100,000 residents in the seven days ending May 20. To estimate the incidence of COVID-19 at the metropolitan level, we aggregated data from the parish level using boundary definitions from the U.S. Census Bureau. Population data used to adjust case and death totals came from the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2019 American Community Survey and are five-year estimates. Unemployment data is from the Bureau of Labor Statistics and is not seasonally adjusted.

These are all the parishes in Louisiana where COVID-19 is slowing (and where it’s still getting worse).

Rank in MSA County Population New daily cases per 100,000, week ending May 20 New daily cases per 100,000, week ending May 13 Cumulative cases per 100,000 Cumulative deaths per 100,000
1 Morehouse Parish 25,610 3.7 9.7 11,108.9 300.7
2 Union Parish 22,353 8.6 8.9 10,795.0 348.9
3 Ouachita Parish 155,494 10.0 11.5 11,952.2 291.3

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