AUSTIN (KXAN) — In a sign of what is possible over the coming week, a persistent area of thunderstorms dropped 5-6 inches of rain between San Saba and Cherokee Friday afternoon, prompting an hours-long Flash Flood Warning.

An unsettled weather pattern including multiple upper level disturbances, the dry line and a cold front will keep chances for showers and storms in our forecast for the next week or more. The National Weather Service is projecting 1.5″-3″ of rain across Central Texas over the next 7 days.

The weekend is actually looking mostly good for outdoor activities. Mainly cloudy to partly cloudy skies are expected during the day Saturday, with just a 20% chance of a shower or thunderstorm. Late Saturday and Sunday morning is the time frame where rain and storms will be most likely.

The highest risk of severe weather comes late Saturday night into Sunday morning. There is a slight chance (2 out of 5) of severe storms in the Hill Country, with a lower risk (1 out of 5) of severe storms along and east of the I-35 corridor. All severe modes will be possible – large hail, damaging winds and isolated tornadoes.

Slight risk (2 out of 5) for severe storms in the Hill Country Saturday night
All severe modes possible late Saturday into Sunday
Low risk of severe storms continues through Sunday morning

The first upper level low pressure system will not be the last. In fact, a series of disturbances are forecast to continue moving across Texas for the next week or longer, keeping chances for rain or thunderstorms in the forecast every day into early May.

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