HURRICANE

Tropics watch: System off East Coast of US has low chance for development

Cheryl McCloud
Florida Times-Union

Things have been quiet lately in the tropics, but the National Hurricane Center has been tracking a system showing some chance for development off the East Coast.

If the system strengthens into a tropical storm, it would become Wanda, the last name on the 2021 Atlantic hurricane season list.

There has been no named storm in the Atlantic basin since Sam weakened Oct. 5, according to Philip Klotzbach, a Colorado State University meteorologist specializing in Atlantic basin seasonal hurricane forecasts.

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There have been only two occasions since 1995 when there have been no named storms between Oct. 6 and Oct. 26: in 2006 and 2007.

Here's the latest update from the NHC as of  8 a.m. Oct. 27:  

What's out there and where is it?

A deep, non-tropical low pressure system with storm-force winds is centered about 100 miles south of Cape Cod, Massachusetts.

How likely is it to strengthen? 

The extratropical low is expected to meander off of the mid-Atlantic and northeastern U.S. coasts today, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas.

The low then is expected to move east away from the United States, and it could acquire some subtropical characteristics while it moves east or southeast over warmer waters of the central Atlantic through this weekend.

  • Formation chance through 48 hours: low, 10 percent.
  • Formation chance through 5 days: medium, 40 percent.

Who is likely to be impacted? 

The extratropical low is expected to meander off of the mid-Atlantic and northeastern U.S. coasts today, bringing rain and wind impacts to portions of those areas

Forecasters urge all residents to continue monitoring the tropics and to always be prepared during what's expected to be an active hurricane season.

Tracking the tropics in real time: 

These graphics, which update automatically, show you activity in the tropics in real time: 

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What's out there?

What's next? 

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