Plenty here in decent form however I found easy to settle on MUMMY’S BOY. Semser won LTO in December then 2nd earlier this month, however Siyouni is just 3/63 on the AW with 5yo’s and given the gelding has only raced once so far this year it wouldn’t be a surprise to see a step backward. Nuble is a searching for her fourth consecutive win but she’s FlatStats red rated and racing against better rated horses here today off a 1lb higher so mark might be found out. Dandy Maestro is poorly FS rated also and R Spencer is really difficult to back on the AW (just 10/176 with British-sired horses). Poorly FS rated too is Café Sydney who has a deluge of negative outsider stats to overcome; most notably L Morris’s 3% SR with LTO winners, his 3% SR in the month of January and A Carroll’s 2% SR at Lingfield. Glasvegas is better FS rated but has negative outsider stats to burden too; most damning being P Evans’ 2% SR with horses up in trip. MB has a good jockey booking, well FS rated and Footstepsinthesand has a 31% SR with 4yo’s on the AW when fancied.