<body><div><figure><img src="https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?type=thumbnail_580x000&amp;url=27k5o0_0vCFowYr00" alt="https://img.particlenews.com/image.php?url=27k5o0_0vCFowYr00" width="1920" height="1080" ><figcaption>Democratic presidential candidate Vice President Kamala Harris in Wayne, Michigan, earlier this month. Photo: Andrew Harnik/Getty Images</figcaption></figure>The presidential race in <a href="https://www.axios.com/local/raleigh/2024/08/07/harris-presidential-race-north-carolina-surge-trump">North Carolina</a> has tightened to a "toss up" from "lean Republican," and New Hampshire and Minnesota have shifted to "likely Democrat," <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/08/14/kamala-harris-swing-states-cook-political-report-election">Cook Political Report's</a> Amy Walter <a href="https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/national/national-politics/north-carolina-moves-toss-minnesota-and-new-hampshire-shift">wrote</a> Tuesday.Why it matters: The "Tar Heel State looks more competitive than ever," with Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents "coming home" to back Vice President <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/kamala-harris-us-election-2024">Kamala Harris</a> against <a href="https://www.axios.com/politics-policy/donald-trump">former President Trump</a> in swing states he was <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/05/14/biden-polls-denial-trump-2024-election">tipped to win</a> just months ago, per Walter.<ul><li>The latest polling averages from <a href="https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/polls/president-general/2024/north-carolina/">FiveThirtyEight</a> and <a href="https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/president/general/2024/north-carolina/trump-vs-harris">RealClearPolitics</a> have Harris and Trump effectively tied, as Walter noted in her analysis.</li></ul>Driving the news: "Trump hasn't lost political ground since July; instead it's that Harris has improved" on President Biden's vote share, wrote Walter, who noted the Cook Political Report Swing State Project survey in May showed Biden seven points behind Trump (41% to 48%).<ul><li>"The most recent Swing State Project poll taken in late July/early August, found Trump taking a similar share of the vote (47%), but Harris had improved on Biden's share of the vote by seven points and sat at 48%," Walter said. </li><li>"Her success was driven by increasing her margins with Democrats (+13), Black voters (+4) and independent voters (+13)."</li></ul>Zoom out: <a href="https://www.cbsnews.com/news/new-poll-kamala-harris-policies-trump-democratic-convention-2024/">Several</a> recent <a href="https://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/2024/08/18/harris-trump-post-abc-ipsos-poll/">polls</a> have placed Harris <a href="https://elections2024.thehill.com/forecast/2024/president/">ahead</a> of Trump or tied with her Republican rival, but GOP vice presidential nominee Sen. <a href="https://www.axios.com/2024/08/18/vance-harris-election-polls-fake">JD Vance (R-Ohio) called</a> these findings "fake." More from Axios.. Editor's note: This article has been updated with further context.</div></body>

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Cook Political Report: Harris effect sees North Carolina move to toss-up

The presidential race in North Carolina has tightened to a \"toss up\" from \"lean Republican,\" and New Hampshire and Minnesota have shifted to \"likely Democrat,\" Cook Political Report's Amy Walter wrote Tuesday. Why it matters: The \"Tar Heel State looks more competitive than ever,\" with Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents \"coming...

The presidential race in North Carolina has tightened to a "toss up" from "lean Republican," and New Hampshire and Minnesota have shifted to "likely Democrat," Cook Political Report's Amy Walter wrote Tuesday. Why it matters: The "Tar Heel State looks more competitive than ever," with Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents "coming...

Cook Political Report: Harris effect sees North Carolina move to toss-up

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